{"product_id":"the-black-swan-1","title":"The Black Swan","description":"\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eThe phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003eWhat have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common  Why are all forecasters  con-artists  Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper  \u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003eThis book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. \u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating  guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, \u003ci\u003eIndependent on Sunday\u003c\/i\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, \u003ci\u003eIndependent\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e; Ein 'Black Swan' ist ein sehr unwahrscheinliches Ereignis mit drei Hauptcharakteristika: es ist nicht vorhersehbar, es hat massivste Auswirkungen, und es wird hinterher plötzlich als vorhersagbar und nicht überraschend dargestellt.","brand":"Buchserien.de","offers":[{"title":"Neuware","offer_id":53987235791186,"sku":"9780141034591","price":19.6,"currency_code":"EUR","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0615\/7002\/3593\/files\/unnamed_bc4b2e1a-e20b-4374-a4e0-5c9f9762d91a.jpg?v=1783922470","url":"https:\/\/www.buchserien.de\/products\/the-black-swan-1","provider":"Buchserien.de","version":"1.0","type":"link"}